CAPITAL LOSSES
Sunday, January 19, 2003
By Jim Bodor
Telegram & Gazette Staff
Since 1998, $965.6 million in venture capital was invested
in Central Massachusetts companies, stimulating an economic
boom unlike any before.
The return on that investment, however,
has been less than stellar. Of nearly $1 billion invested,
$480.75 million went to companies that ended up in bankruptcy
or ceased operations, according to a Telegram & Gazette
analysis.
The newspaper examined every known venture
capital investment in Central Massachusetts since the beginning
of 1998, using information from the companies themselves,
venture capital surveys such as those by PricewaterhouseCoopers
and VentureOne, and bankruptcy court records.
Venture capital is money investors give
new companies to hire employees and begin development of
a product in exchange for a share of future profits.
The two largest casualties were Celox Networks
Inc. of Southboro, the recipient of $155 million in venture
capital, which closed in December, and Cereva Networks Inc.,
which attracted $106.4 million in venture capital and closed
in June. Both created new technologies that, ultimately, companies
did not want or need.
But the list also includes dot-coms such
as Furniture.com, founded in Worcester; software companies
such as LifeTecNet of Westboro, and even a furniture-delivery
company, NationStreet Inc. of Westboro.
Five years after the venture capital boom
began, hundreds of Central Massachusetts residents have
seen high-paying dream jobs slip through their hands; investors
are absorbing losses that far outpace those on less risky
investments, and the entrepreneurs who started the companies
are wondering how so much cash was spent so quickly.
At the same time, savvy business people
are scouring bankruptcy courts for the kernels of innovation,
hopeful that a patent snagged at a huge discount may spark
the next big thing.
Economist Joseph A. Schumpeter coined a
phrase to describe such a cycle: creative destruction. Progress
in capitalism occurs, he believed, only through failure
and change.
That's what we're living through right
now, and it's not very comfortable, said Michael D.
Granoff, a Worcester native and founder of Pomona Capital
of New York, a private-equity fund. From the ashes,
though, I expect to see a whole new set of pretty interesting
companies.
What follows is a look at how the largest
investment of venture capital in history -- both nationally
and in Central Massachusetts -- has affected those directly
involved in the great venture boom at the turn of the century.
It is an accepted principle of the venture
capital industry that, out of every 10 companies financed,
one or two will succeed, three or four may be sold at a
modest profit and the rest will fail.
A study by VentureOne found that 20 percent
of the companies that received venture financing during
1999 and 2000 are out of business. That percentage will
likely surpass 50 percent by the end of year, according
to VentureOne.
Few venture investors like to own up to
their failures, however. It's always been a public
secret that the VCs have a lot of money in troubled companies,
but they don't want anybody to know about it, because then
they can't raise any more money, said A. Larry Lindsey,
managing director of SageGroup Strategies of Northboro,
which helps troubled companies find financing and manage
turnarounds.
Peter S. Cohan of Marlboro ran a venture
capital investment company from 1996 to 2001. Today, he
has opted for the more tranquil career of writing and lecturing
about investing and technology trends. Like every other
venture investor, he has experienced huge successes -- and
some failures he'd rather not discuss.
One of his investments, Suppliermarket.com
of Waltham, was sold to Ariba Inc. in 2000 for $930 million
in stock. Another, Andromedia, an Internet software company,
was acquired in December 1999 for $440 million in stock.
What it boils down to is venture capital
investing is very risky, which was something you could forget
between 1998 and 2000, he said. Now, there is
tons of capital down the tubes.
Such cycles are a necessary evil of capitalism,
he said. If you want nice, steady growth, you can
go to Soviet-style, five-year planning, he said.
Still, Mr. Cohan worries about all the people
who lost jobs at venture-funded companies, including some
he financed. He also worries about the state's stagnant
economy. The current downturn, fueled in part by failed
startup technology companies, seems to have no end in sight,
he said.
When you think about the last 20 years
in Massachusetts technology, there was always another big
thing, he said. Now, for the last three years
we've been waiting for another big thing, but the latest
surveys show that tech spending will be down again this
year.
He is hesitant to assign blame for the fallout
from the most recent venture-driven boom.
Failure still happens even if people
are smart and they tried hard, he said. Sometimes,
they just don't make it. Even if everyone's intentions are
pure, you still lose your money. I knew I was taking a risk.
That's how our system works. People take risks.
Mr. Granoff, president and chief executive
of Pomona Capital, takes risks every day and has registered
returns of more than 20 percent each year since 1994 because
of it.
Mr. Granoff's fund, named after the street
in the Tatnuck section of Worcester where he grew up, buys
stakes in other venture capital funds. When investors in
those funds want to liquidate their position -- in other
words, pull their money out early -- he buys their stakes
at a discount. The investors get an immediate infusion of
cash. Pomona gets positions in the venture-funded companies
at reduced prices.
What does it mean when a bubble bursts?
Unfortunately, we live in a Darwinian world, Mr. Granoff
said. The companies that make it have made it through
tough times, though, and are likely to become larger, more
dominant entities.
It is a good time to be investing venture
capital, Mr. Granoff said. Mindful of the excesses of the
past few years, investors are demanding and are receiving
better accounting of how venture money is used, and business
plans are more detailed. The days of wasting venture money
on exorbitant executive salaries and extravagant employee
parties are over, he said.
Despite the losses of the past few years,
venture capital will never disappear, he said.
The great part of our system is that
people are willing to take a chance on a new idea,
he said. That's not going to go away. The investors
in such funds appear to support that view. Michael J. Donoghue,
chief executive officer of the Worcester Regional Retirement
System, said his agency has historically invested between
5 percent and 7 percent of its $270 million in assets in
venture funds, and will continue to do so.
It's been a very good investment in
the past, he said. Now these are tough times,
and those types of funds have gotten hit very hard. It's
a high-risk investment; we all know that, but that's also
where you create jobs. And, with good managers, the possibilities
for a great return are there.
Clark
University invests about 4 percent of its $145
million in assets in venture funds, said James E. Collins,
executive vice president and treasurer. One of those funds
has registered a 49 percent return over the past decade,
he said. Others are too new to begin registering consistent
returns, he said.
We look at these funds as adding further
diversity to our base, and we continue to believe that,
over a long time period, they should produce better returns
than the public markets, he said.
There is no failure in modern American business.
That is the lesson many of the founders of defunct startup
companies have learned.
We do not look at the failed businessman
and castrate him and throw him out the door, said
Mr. Lindsey.
Instead, we say, 'Well, he'll never
make that mistake again.' A lot of entrepreneurs make good
on the second, third or fourth try.
M. Vaman Rao hopes that adage is true. As
an executive with experience working for pharmaceutical
companies in the United States, Britain and India, Mr. Rao
saw a need for software to simplify the process of winning
federal approval for new drugs.
He launched LifeTecNet of Westboro in 1999
to fill that need, and accepted $20 million from venture
investors to support the company. By May 2001, however,
Mr. Rao said, companies had stopped investing in new technology.
It's like Christmas lighting,
he said. If you don't put it up, you're an odd guy.
It was the same way with software -- at first. Everybody
wanted it. Then nobody wanted it.
Fearful of losing all of his investors'
money and unable to negotiate an acquisition, Mr. Rao closed
the company in late 2001, and sold its technology and patents.
The company recouped less than 25 percent of the money invested
in it, Mr. Rao said, but if we had dragged on, it
would have been worse.
Now Mr. Rao is making a second try. Last
week, he launched a new company, indiGene Pharmaceuticals
Inc. of Westboro. The company is trying to develop drugs
from a catalog of Southeast Asian plants Mr. Rao acquired
in India.
He has hired some former LifeTecNet employees,
and this time, he said, he will accept venture capital only
after the company has reached certain milestones.
I know now, having gone through this,
that this is not the right time to talk to venture folks,
he said. We want to deliver value and grow the company
first.
Steven M. Rothschild of Worcester is also
trying to make good on his second try.
Mr. Rothschild was the founder of Furniture.com,
one of the first dot-com darlings of the much-heralded New
Economy. After receiving more than $50 million in venture
capital, the business ran out of cash and ended up in bankruptcy
in November 2000.
In April 2002, the Furniture.com domain
name was sold to a group of former employees for $1 million.
They operate the Web site today as a sales channel for Levitz
Furniture Corp. and Seaman Furniture Co. Mr. Rothschild
remembered the exhilaration of receiving $3.5 million during
Furniture.com's first round of venture funding. It
was exciting, he said. If your sport is business,
it's like going from the minors to finally hitting the major
leagues.
But he soon discovered, he said, that the
VCs were drinking their own Kool-Aid. They pushed
the company to funnel millions into expensive marketing,
telling Mr. Rothschild the money was rocket fuel --
so burn it, to make the company as large as possible,
he said.
Angry about the direction of the company,
Mr. Rothschild scaled back his role at Furniture.com and
started bulbs.com of Worcester, an online retailer of light
bulbs.
The company has accepted $6 million from
venture investors. This time, however, Mr. Rothschild's
investors are from Midwestern firms such as Arbor Partners
of Ann Arbor, Mich., and are more patient.
We're funded conservatively and we
run judiciously, he said. Now we're virtually
at break-even, and we're reinvesting in the company. We're
doing it the old way, and building a business to make the
equity work. Daniel Bogaty is one of the lost employees.
He lost his job as a technical consultant with a venture-funded
software company in Framingham in December. Now the 53-year-old
Westboro resident finds himself looking for work as his
two teenage children begin researching and applying to colleges.
This is not the first time he has worked
for a struggling company. Mr. Bogaty worked for Digital
Equipment Corp. from 1982 to 1996, leaving as one of 35
former employees who started a digital spin-off at Devens,
only to be laid off from that company after 18 months.
Despite that, he remains a supporter of
the role of venture capital.
The idea of venture capital is great,
he said. That's where ideas are born. Ideally, it
allows you to do something free of market pressures. Maybe
that's idealistic, but I think it's a valid idea. A lot
of good software was bred during the boom.
He said he is optimistic that he will find
another job as good or better than the one he had. He has
tried to convey that optimism and resolve to his children,
he said.
Having been through this before and
survived it is really important, he said. That
absolute terror of losing a job isn't there. I've kept my
children absolutely in the loop from the beginning, to let
them know that we'll get through this and to not make a
crisis out of it. I want them to see that this is just another
phase of life.
Mark D. Bermingham joined Celox Networks
in October 2000, 10 months after the company's founding.
The 35-year-old commuted from his home in Windham, N.H.,
to Southboro because, he said, I thought I'd hit gold.
He survived two rounds of layoffs, but could not survive
the company's closing in December.
Celox created a telecommunications switch
the company claimed was more efficient and less costly than
those made by Cisco Systems Inc. and other competitors.
But by the time the product was ready for use, telecommunications
spending had plummeted.
Two years earlier, and we would have
done very well, said Mr. Bermingham, who worked in
product marketing for Celox. There was just some very
conservative spending and some wariness about dealing with
startups. Nobody ever got fired for buying from Cisco.
He said he would work again for a venture-funded
startup company. A former AT&T Corp. employee, Mr. Bermingham
said he didn't like the bureaucratic environment of such
a large company.
A lot of the money that came in was
irrational exuberance, he said.
It's too bad, because now there are
some very viable companies that are gone.
Sharad Joshi is the face of creative destruction.
The Worcester native worked for cancer-treatment
firm Alliant Medical Technologies Inc. of Norwood until
the company closed in April 2002 after missing a debt payment.
He and a partner acquired the company's
technology out of bankruptcy court for $350,000. Today,
they are working to restart the company with new financing
in Ashland.
It's probably the fastest way anyone
could get in the market, he said. The beautiful
thing is, all the regulatory approvals and intellectual
property became ours, and we're building a whole new company.
Bankruptcy court has become the place to
find new technology, patents and intellectual property at
low prices. In 2001, Conversent Communications LLC of Marlboro
bought most of the assets of U.S. Data Centers Inc. of Marlboro
out of bankruptcy for $400,000. Investors had spent more
than $17 million building the company.
The former chief technology officer of cyberMedica
Inc., a medical software company in Marlboro, bought its
primary product for $15,100 out of bankruptcy court last
year. Investors had pumped $12 million into cyberMedica.
EMC Corp. of Hopkinton acquired the storage
technology developed by Cereva Networks for $2 million,
according to analysts who follow the companies.
More deals are sure to follow. Celox is
trying to sell its technology, as is GlobalBA.com, an online
chemical sales portal founded by Worcester residents Richard
Kennedy and Roger D. Moore. That company, which received
$6.75 million from investors, shut down in November 2001
when it could not raise a second round of financing.
There are definitely technology portfolios
out there being peddled, but it's not always easy to realize
great value, said Brian M. Dingman, chairman of the
intellectual property group at law firm Mirick O'Connell
of Worcester. It's a lot of work to negotiate a price
and identify people who can use it.
But it is this type of refining of half-developed
ideas, the rejuvenation of failed ventures, that pushes
the economy forward, said the SageGroup's Mr. Lindsey.
That is the best outcome one can expect
from the $500 million spent in Central Massachusetts on
companies that no longer exist.
This type of business cycle has been
a basic part of our economy for hundreds of years now,
he said. It's inevitable that we go through these
cycles. And not only is it inevitable, but out of that comes
all kinds of good.